The latest forecast from National Centre for Hydrology and Meteorology (NCHM) has reported the southern, eastern, and isolated places in central Bhutan might receive heavy to very heavy rainfall on May 4 and 5. The rest of the country is likely to receive moderate to heavy rain.
In the last 24 hours, the Very Severe Cyclonic Storm ‘Fani’ intensified into Extremely Severe Cyclonic Storm. The cyclone forecast track shifted north-eastwards and the cone of uncertainty (evolution of the amount of best case uncertainty during a project) has indicated low pressure towards Bhutan.
As per the latest updates, the cyclone is located at a distance of around 600km from Puri in Odisha and 400km from Visakhapatnam in Andra Pradesh, India.
“While the broad consensus is that it is set to make landfall in Puri on Friday afternoon, different weather models have different estimates of the track and speed,” reported the Times of India.
The cyclone forecast shows that the cyclone could move northwestwards and then recurve north-northeastwards crossing Odisha Coast by 3rd May. Currently, Fani is travelling at the speed of 11 km/h. The Indian weather channel’s updated projections show that the storm may retain its current intensity, or also weaken to a Very Severe Cyclone.